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The PGA Tour is rolling. The Charles Schwab Challenge in Week 1 of the return amid the coronavirus pandemic was terrific, but last week's RBC Heritage at fascinating Harbour Town was even better. Major championship-like leaderboards and amazing golf all somehow accentuated by the sights and sounds we get from not having fans on the course at all.
This week's Travelers Championship should be more of the same as the best field in tournament history tees it up at a really fun course. Let's take a closer look at this week's contest, with odds and prop bets provided via William Hill Sportsbook.
A full golf betting guide including explanations on outright winner or future betting, head to head wagers, and prop bets you can place on golf tournaments.
Event information
What: Travelers Championship
When: June 25-28
Where: TPC River Highlands -- Cromwell, Connecticut
Three things to know
1. Another diverse board: I wrote on Monday about how a short course like Harbour Town was the real MVP in last week's RBC Heritage. This week's TPC River Highlands is even shorter than Harbour Town. Will that lead to another stylistically-diverse leaderboard, or will the bombers take over? Last year's final leaderboard suggests the former will be true with the heavy-hitters sprinkled in. I'm here for that following the fun we had last week.
2. Another sub-60 round: The only 58 in PGA Tour history was shot here in the final round in 2016 when Jim Furyk did it. We saw guys flirt with 60 last week (Justin Thomas shot 63 with two bogeys), and with the loaded field is and how short this course is, I wonder if we might be on a 59ish watch at some point later on this week.
3. Player of the Year race: This point was made to me on the 'First Cut Podcast' following Webb Simpson's win last week, but Simpson might actually be the frontrunner for Player of the Year. The odd thing here is that there are only a handful of events left and only one of them is a major. If Webb or Justin Thomas gets to three wins at some point over the next few weeks, that might be enough to seal the deal on the POY discussion, which is a crazy -- but also true -- thing to say when there hasn't been a major played yet this season.
Grading the field
We're 3 for 3 since golf's return on elite fields. This one includes the top seven players in the world and 10 of the top 11 in what is maybe the best field we've seen of the first three tournaments back. It lacks Tiger Woods, but it does get a now 50-year-old Phil Mickelson in his first start since he's been eligible for the senior circuit. If you did a blind test on this field at the beginning of 2020, you would have thought it was closer to a Players Championship or PGA Championship than a Travelers Championship. That's a good thing for this event and an even better thing for those of us who will be tuning in. Grade: A
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Two best prop bets
1. Tournament ends in playoff (+300) or one-stroke win (+250): In 12 of the last 16 Travelers Championships, this has been the outcome. It's also been true of the first two events in the return amid the pandemic. With this many elite players in the field, it's difficult to see somebody running away from the pack on the weekend, and both of these are reasonable numbers.
2. Matthew Wolff to win (150-1): I don't really love his game right now, but when you can get his talent on this course at that number, you have to take it. He doesn't have a top 20 at a full-field event since the Zozo Championship last fall, but that's sort of the point to me. That's the reason he's 150-1 while contemporaries Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa are 60-1 and 35-1, respectively. If he has one good week, he'll pop back into double digits here, so I like the number given his overall game can stand up to this field.
Travelers Championship picks
Winner (12-1): It's very brave of me to pick one of the co-favorites to win this golf tournament, I know, but here we are. Thomas has been tremendous in the first two tournaments back, finishing in the top 20 from tee to green at both. His putter finally got hot on Sunday at the RBC Heritage, and he shot a 63. Hoping it stays hot here. |
Top 10 (14-1): Bryson has a strong history here, and he's been as consistent as anyone over the last two weeks with a pair of top-10 finishes. He's probably going to try and drive a handful of the par 4s on this course (which he can) and take advantage of his newfound length. He's finished in the top 10 here in each of the last two seasons. |
Sleeper (80-1): Quietly having the best year of his career so far with four top-10 finishes in just 14 events. He faded hard on Sunday at Harbour Town after a Saturday 63, but seven of his eight rounds since returning from the pandemic have been at 70 or better. Love him at this number. |
So who will win the Travelers Championship? And which long shots will stun the golfing world? Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed six golf majors and was all over Webb Simpson last week.
Fans begin to return to the PGA Tour this week with 5,000 spectators per round allowed on the grounds of TPC Scottsdale in Phoenix, Arizona, for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. Below, we’ll look for the best value bets in the 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open odds, with tournament matchups, placings and other PGA Tour prop bet predictions.
Running during the week of Super Bowl 55 and the European Tour’s Saudi International, a strong field including six of the top-nine golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings is in attendance. Webb Simpson is back to defend his title while Rory McIlroy makes his tournament debut at TPC Scottsdale.
Golf Prop Bets In Vegas
2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open: Matchup bets
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:15 p.m. ET.
Bubba Watson (-118) vs. Brooks Koepka
Everyone keeps thinking Koepka, a four-time major winner and the 2015 Phoenix Open champ, needs to get right eventually. Well, he has missed three three straight cuts and is in complete disarray.
Watson also missed the cut last week at the Farmers Insurance Open in his first event of 2021. Only four golfers with 10 or more rounds of experience at TPC Scottsdale have averaged more than Watson’s 1.95 strokes gained on the field per round.
Fun Golf Prop Bets
Also see:
Phoenix Open odds, predictions and PGA Tour picksFantasy Golf Power RankingsWebb Simpson vs. Daniel Berger (+105)
Berger and Simpson come into the week ranked sixth and ninth, respectively, in the Golfweek rankings. Simpson, the defending tournament champion is a modest favorite in this tournament head-to-head despite having the lower world ranking. Both are playing for the first time in 2021 back on the mainland after they each played both events in Hawaii.
Berger has never won here, but he has three top-10 finishes in six appearances. Both are excellent ball-strikers are among the top-six betting favorites for the week. Take the value in Berger in what should be a pick ’em.
2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open: Placing bets
Top 5: Byeong Hun An (+1600)
Going back to course history, An’s 2.09 strokes gained on the field per round rank fourth in this field among those with at least 12 rounds played. He tied for eighth in a slightly weaker field at The American Express two weeks ago before a T-75 finish last week amid a poor putting performance. His experience on these greens should help.
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Top 10: Doc Redman (+1400)
Redman missed the cut in two of his last three events, but he collected three top-10s from mid-August to early November of 2020. He’s struggling around the greens on the 2020-21 season, but he’s still gaining 0.34 strokes per round off-the-tee and suits this venue well with relatively unguarded putting surfaces.
Top European: Rory McIlroy (+210)
This is a glorified head-to-head between McIlroy and tournament betting favorite Jon Rahm (+100). Henrik Norlander and Rory Sabbatini are next by the odds in this group at +1400 and +1600, respectively.
Rahm has three career top-10 finishes here while McIlroy debuts, but the Northern Irishman is better with the driver, ranking second on Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee for the season.
2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open: First-round leader
Webb Simpson (+2500)
This is good value for the defending champion. It’s early in the season, but Simpson is tied for eighth on Tour with a first-round scoring average of 68.29 through seven events. He opened with a 71 here last year but shot 63-64 in his next two rounds to fly up the leaderboard.
Golf Prop Bet Results
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